TT vs AKs odds
TT beats AKs 54.1% of the time before the flop, winning outright 53.9% and splitting 0.4%. AKs holds the remaining 45.9%. These figures are exact: all 3,424,608 possible boards were evaluated across 24 card combinations.
Equity by street
The same matchup on three flops that ask different questions: one that connects with nothing, one that offers a flush draw and a straight draw, and one that puts a pair on the board.
| Street | Board | TT | AKs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preflop | - | 54.1% | 45.9% |
| Dry flop | Kd 7h 2c | 8.5% | 91.5% |
| Wet flop | 9h 8h 6d | 70.4% | 29.6% |
| Paired flop | Qs Qd 4c | 72.7% | 27.3% |
| Hand | Win | Tie | Lose | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 53.9% | 0.4% | 45.7% | 54.1% |
| AKs | 45.7% | 0.4% | 53.9% | 45.9% |
Why this matchup matters
A pair against two overcards is the classic coinflip, and TT at 54.1% shows how close to even it really is. The pair is ahead right now and stays ahead on roughly two-thirds of flops; the overcards win by pairing either card, which happens about one time in three. When the pair is higher than both cards the picture changes completely, then the overcards are drawing to three outs twice rather than six.
Questions about this matchup
What are the odds of TT against AKs?
TT has 54.1% equity against AKs before the flop. It wins outright 53.9% of the time, loses 45.7% and splits the pot 0.4%.
Are these numbers exact or estimated?
Exact. Every one of the 3,424,608 board runouts was evaluated across all 24 ways the two hands can be dealt. No sampling was used, so there is no margin of error.
How does the flop change TT versus AKs?
On a dry Kd 7h 2c flop, TT holds 8.5%. On a wet 9h 8h 6d board with a flush draw and a straight draw available, it holds 70.4%. Coordinated boards move equity towards the hand that can draw.
Should AKs get all-in against TT before the flop?
It is close to a coinflip at 45.9%, so the decision comes down to the price. With dead money in the pot it is fine; for a clean stack-off with no extra equity it is roughly break-even.
Both hands
Similar matchups
Hear the day the trainer opens
TT versus AKs is settled arithmetic; recognising the spot in real time is not, and that is what the trainer drills. Everything opens without a card while Learn GTO is in early access.
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