Poker outs chart
A flush draw has 9 outs and 35.0% equity from the flop. An open-ended straight draw has 8 outs and 31.5%. A gutshot has 4 and 16.5%, not enough to call a half-pot bet without implied odds.
Every out count
| Outs | Typical draw | From the flop | From the turn | Can call |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | One specific card, a single remaining ace to make quads | 4.3% | 2.2% | only a small bet |
| 2 | A pocket pair improving to a set | 8.4% | 4.3% | only a small bet |
| 3 | One overcard to the board | 12.5% | 6.5% | only a small bet |
| 4 | gutshot straight draw | 16.5% | 8.7% | only a small bet |
| 5 | A gutshot plus one overcard | 20.4% | 10.9% | a quarter-pot bet |
| 6 | two overcards | 24.1% | 13.0% | a third-pot bet |
| 7 | A set improving to a full house or quads | 27.8% | 15.2% | a third-pot bet |
| 8 | open-ended straight draw | 31.5% | 17.4% | a half-pot bet |
| 9 | flush draw | 35.0% | 19.6% | a half-pot bet |
| 10 | An open-ended straight draw plus a paired overcard | 38.4% | 21.7% | a two-thirds-pot bet |
| 11 | A flush draw plus one overcard | 41.7% | 23.9% | a two-thirds-pot bet |
| 12 | flush draw with a gutshot | 45.0% | 26.1% | a three-quarter-pot bet |
| 13 | A flush draw plus a gutshot with one card shared | 48.1% | 28.3% | a three-quarter-pot bet |
| 14 | A flush draw plus a pair | 51.2% | 30.4% | a pot-sized bet |
| 15 | flush draw with an open-ender | 54.1% | 32.6% | a pot-sized bet |
| 16 | A flush draw, an open-ender and one overcard | 57.0% | 34.8% | a pot-sized bet |
| 17 | A flush draw, an open-ender and a pair | 59.8% | 37.0% | a pot-sized bet |
| 18 | A monster draw with two overcards | 62.4% | 39.1% | a pot-sized bet |
| 19 | A flush draw, open-ender and two overcards | 65.0% | 41.3% | a pot-sized bet |
| 20 | A wrap draw with a flush draw, rare in hold’em, common in Omaha | 67.5% | 43.5% | an overbet of twice the pot |
| 21 | The practical ceiling: a flush draw, straight draw and two live overcards | 69.9% | 45.7% | an overbet of twice the pot |
The draws worth a page
- Next stepTurn a count into a decisionEquity only means something next to a price. Put the pot and the bet in, and the calculator says whether the draw you are holding can pay for the call.
- 4 outs, gutshot straight draw16.5%
- 6 outs, two overcards24.1%
- 8 outs, open-ended straight draw31.5%
- 9 outs, flush draw35.0%
- 12 outs, flush draw with a gutshot45.0%
- 15 outs, flush draw with an open-ender54.1%
Questions about outs
What is an out in poker?
A card still in the deck that takes you from behind to in front. A card that improves you but still loses is not an out, and one that only produces a split pot is not either.
How do I turn outs into a percentage?
Exactly: with two cards to come the chance of missing both is (47−outs)/47 × (46−outs)/46, and your equity is one minus that. As a shortcut, multiply outs by four from the flop and by two from the turn.
How many outs is a flush draw?
Nine, which is 35.0% from the flop and 19.6% from the turn. Thirteen cards of each suit exist and you can see four of them.
How many outs is an open-ended straight draw?
Eight, four cards at each end. That is 31.5% from the flop and 17.4% from the turn.
How many outs is a gutshot?
Four, one rank filling the middle of the run. That is 16.5% from the flop, which is not enough to call a half-pot bet on pot odds alone.
Why does the 2-and-4 rule overstate my equity?
Because the two cards are not independent, missing the turn removes a card from the deck and slightly changes the river probability. The shortcut ignores that, and the error grows with the number of outs: negligible at four, over five points at fifteen.
Hear when the drills open
This chart stays readable and printable. The lessons that get outs-to-equity down to the couple of seconds a live hand gives you open without a card while Deckwise is in early access.
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