Hand vs hand equity
Exact preflop equity for 26 Texas hold'em matchups. Aces beat kings 81.9% of the time; a small pair against two overcards is close to a coinflip. Every figure comes from evaluating all 1,712,304 possible boards, not from sampling.
Pair versus pair
The most lopsided common spot in poker. The smaller pair is drawing to two cards and little else.
7 matchups
Pair versus overcards
The textbook coinflip. A pair is ahead now; two overcards win by pairing either one.
10 matchups
Dominated hands
Both hands share their top card, so pairing it hands the pot to whoever holds the better kicker.
3 matchups
Coinflips
Matchups close enough to even that the price, not the hand, decides.
3 matchups
Connectors versus overpairs
How much equity a suited connector really has against a big pair, and where it comes from.
1 matchups
Broadway battles
Two big unpaired hands racing for the better top pair.
2 matchups
Questions about matchup equity
What are the odds of aces against kings?
Pocket aces beat pocket kings 81.7% of the time, lose 17.8% and split 0.5%, for 81.9% equity. That is the average across all 36 ways the two pairs can be dealt.
How exact are these numbers?
Completely exact. Each matchup was evaluated across every one of the 1,712,304 possible board runouts, for every way the two hands can be dealt. No Monte Carlo sampling was used, so there is no margin of error to allow for.
Why is a small pair against two overcards close to even?
The pair is ahead before the flop and stays ahead on about two-thirds of flops, but the overcards make a better pair roughly one time in three. The two effects nearly cancel, which is why these are called coinflips.
Why not generate a page for every possible matchup?
There are 14,000 or so combinations, and almost all of them are questions nobody asks. This catalogue is 26 matchups that come up in real games, each with genuinely different analysis rather than the same paragraph reworded. Anything not listed can be run in the calculator.
Hear when the trainer opens
All 26 matchup pages are published for anyone to read. The course that drills the decisions leading into them opens without a card while Deckwise is in early access.
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